CA Bastia vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
GAZ
1 - 1
CAB
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SAE
3 - 0
CAB
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 1
FCM
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CAB
5 - 1
JUR
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 2
CAB
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
JUR
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
SPO
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 2
SAE
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |