CA Bastia vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
53.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SAE
3 - 3
CAB
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CAB
0 - 1
LEP
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ARL
3 - 1
CAB
62%
21%
16%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CAB
4 - 1
AGD
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CAB
2 - 1
FRE
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ETG
1 - 1
OLY
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 0
ETG
17%
25%
58%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ETG
1 - 0
GAZ
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CAS
0 - 0
ETG
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
ETG
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |