CA Bastia vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
CAB
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 0
CAB
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
CAB
1 - 1
CON
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
CAB
2 - 0
USB
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 2
CAB
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
AVR
0 - 2
AMI
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
AVR
1 - 0
LUC
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 3
AVR
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
AVR
2 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
USB
2 - 0
AVR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |