CA Bastia vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
STR
1 - 0
CAB
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 2
LPS
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAB
40%
28%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
BOU
1 - 0
CAB
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
CAB
4 - 0
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
AVR
2 - 1
BOU
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
AVR
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
AVR
3 - 1
COL
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
USB
1 - 0
AVR
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
AVR
1 - 2
PFC
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |