CA Bastia vs Avion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
CAB
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 0
CAB
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAB
2 - 0
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 0
CAB
31%
28%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 1
PSG
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 3
AVI
40%
28%
32%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 2
COM
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 2
VAL
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 2
AVI
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |