Atlético Mineiro U23 vs Fluminense U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
68.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+770%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
9º
15º
15º
9
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Mineiro U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
ATM
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 53 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
ATM
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 2
CRB
17%
19%
65%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BOT
4 - 0
ATM
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
ATM
2 - 1
SPR
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | +7 |
Matches
Fluminense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 2
BOT
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 1
ECV
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
83%
11%
6%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SPR
2 - 2
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |