CA Atlas vs CA Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Atlas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
CBA
1 - 2
CAA
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
BER
4 - 1
CAA
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2007 |
CAA
6 - 2
MID
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
YUP
1 - 1
CAA
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CAD
2 - 1
CAA
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 2
CAD
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LUG
2 - 1
CES
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2007 |
UAI
1 - 1
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 0
RIE
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
DPA
2 - 2
LUG
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |