Vila Cortez vs São João Ver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
77.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 6
ANA
7%
14%
78%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
SAN
9%
16%
75%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
RDA
1 - 0
VCO
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 5
VAL
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
LUS
66%
19%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAO
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 2
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
RDA
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 0
ESP
18%
25%
58%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +4 |