Vila Cortez vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
67.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VCO
0 - 3
GIN
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VCO
2 - 4
FCC
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VIT
1 - 0
RDA
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SER
0 - 1
RDA
41%
29%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
PRA
1 - 1
RDA
77%
16%
7%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RDA
2 - 3
IDE
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 1
RDA
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |