Vila Cortez vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BMA
3 - 0
VCO
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
SAO
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 6
ANA
7%
14%
78%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
SAN
9%
16%
75%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
RDA
1 - 0
VCO
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 2
VAL
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ANA
1 - 0
LUS
69%
21%
11%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
LUS
66%
19%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 0
ESP
15%
22%
63%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +5 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
LUS
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |