Vila Cortez vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
75.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
VCO
89%
8%
3%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
1 - 3
LUS
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BMA
3 - 0
VCO
91%
7%
2%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
SAO
8%
15%
77%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
LUS
20%
24%
57%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
RDA
1 - 1
LUS
23%
27%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 0
CAN
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
LUS
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |