Vila Cortez vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
73.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VAL
8 - 0
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ANA
7 - 0
VCO
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 46 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LUS
4 - 2
VCO
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 1
CAS
9%
17%
74%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 4
LUS
8%
16%
76%
|
13 | 44 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 0
CAN
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
CAN
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 2
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ANA
3 - 0
CAN
48%
28%
25%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |