Vila Cortez vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
76.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAO
7 - 0
VCO
73%
16%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
VCO
65%
19%
17%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
5 - 0
VCO
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 4
VCO
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VCO
2 - 1
RDA
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
BMA
2 - 0
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MOU
0 - 2
BMA
15%
21%
65%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2020 |
RDA
0 - 2
BMA
18%
23%
58%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BMA
1 - 0
OLI
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
BMA
0 - 2
CAN
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |