CS Capesterre Bell vs Gourbeyre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
10º
10º
18
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
18 | 21 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 19 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 16 |
6º
|
93.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
72.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
72.5% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 3 |
9º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Capesterre Bell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CSC
0 - 3
CSM
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CER
0 - 0
CSC
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 0
CSC
65%
18%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 3
RSG
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CSC
1 - 1
ASG
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gourbeyre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GOU
0 - 4
PDC
38%
24%
37%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SSC
3 - 2
GOU
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 5
ETO
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 3
GOU
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
GOU
2 - 1
USB
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |