CS Capesterre Bell vs CERFA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
44.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
13º
16º
18º
17
9º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 33 |
3º
|
81.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
76.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
76.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
76.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 11 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Capesterre Bell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CSM
5 - 1
CSC
65%
19%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 5
LAG
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RSG
0 - 0
CSC
58%
20%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASG
4 - 1
CSC
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 3
JEE
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CERFA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CER
1 - 2
ASG
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
JEE
1 - 3
CER
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CER
0 - 2
LAG
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VIE
1 - 1
CER
52%
21%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CER
2 - 0
RSG
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |