Mérida UD vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ALC
0 - 1
MER
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
MER
1 - 1
CDL
39%
30%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CCF
0 - 1
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MER
0 - 2
SEV
32%
30%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
MER
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
UBC
1 - 2
CDB
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
TAL
0 - 0
UBC
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
UBC
2 - 1
ALG
46%
29%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAZ
6 - 0
UBC
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
UBC
2 - 3
RJA
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |