Mérida UD vs Reus Deportiu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MER
0 - 1
EXT
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SNV
2 - 2
MER
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LAN
1 - 3
MER
32%
26%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
CAR
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CIU
0 - 1
MER
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Reus Deportiu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
REU
2 - 0
MAF
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
OLE
1 - 2
REU
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
REU
1 - 0
BAL
75%
17%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
LEG
1 - 3
REU
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
REU
0 - 0
BNS
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |