Mérida UD vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VVA
1 - 3
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
MER
2 - 3
ECI
30%
29%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 1
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
MER
1 - 0
GRA
46%
28%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CER
2 - 1
MER
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAZ
42%
28%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 0
RJA
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
RJA
1 - 1
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
RJA
0 - 0
VVA
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ECI
3 - 3
RJA
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |