Mérida UD vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
20.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
TAL
0 - 1
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
RJA
26%
29%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
ALG
0 - 2
MER
41%
27%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
MER
0 - 1
ALC
40%
29%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
MER
2 - 0
ALC
34%
29%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
AGU
21%
27%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
MEL
24%
29%
47%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 1
LUC
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 2
LUC
28%
29%
44%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |