Mérida UD vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
31.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CDZ
2 - 0
MER
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MER
0 - 1
CDL
48%
28%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 2
MER
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
MER
1 - 2
TOR
59%
25%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
MOT
2 - 0
MER
38%
29%
34%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
JER
0 - 0
CIU
42%
29%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
EXT
0 - 1
JER
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
JER
2 - 1
ECI
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 1
JER
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
JER
0 - 2
CPC
33%
27%
41%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |