Mérida UD vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.2%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
20.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
28%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 1
MER
37%
28%
36%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MER
0 - 0
CDL
29%
30%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
AGD
0 - 0
MER
56%
25%
19%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MER
1 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 2
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
EST
0 - 0
SPV
16%
22%
63%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
MOR
4 - 1
EST
24%
26%
50%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
EST
0 - 2
CPC
9%
18%
73%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
EST
2 - 0
SAM
48%
27%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
VIL
5 - 0
EST
70%
20%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |