Mérida UD vs Estrella analysis

Mérida UD Estrella
48 ELO 18
-28% Tilt -11.4%
26138º General ELO ranking 9203º
8419º Country ELO ranking 521º
ELO win probability
73.9%
Mérida UD
19.7%
Draw
6.4%
Estrella

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
Mérida UD
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.2%
+5
2.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
18.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
20.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
28%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.7%
6.4%
Win probability
Estrella
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Mérida UD
Estrella
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mérida UD
Mérida UD
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2004
VIL
CF Villanovense
0 - 1
Mérida UD
MER
37%
28%
36%
47 40 7 0
16 May. 2004
MER
Mérida UD
0 - 0
CD Linares
CDL
29%
30%
41%
48 53 5 -1
09 May. 2004
AGD
AgD Ceuta
0 - 0
Mérida UD
MER
56%
25%
19%
47 57 10 +1
02 May. 2004
MER
Mérida UD
1 - 0
CF Villanovense
VIL
46%
27%
27%
47 40 7 0
24 Apr. 2004
EXT
CF Extremadura
1 - 2
Mérida UD
MER
65%
21%
14%
46 58 12 +1

Matches

Estrella
Estrella
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2004
EST
Estrella
0 - 0
Sporting Villanueva
SPV
16%
22%
63%
18 35 17 0
19 May. 2002
MOR
Moraleja
4 - 1
Estrella
EST
24%
26%
50%
19 12 7 -1
12 May. 2002
EST
Estrella
0 - 2
CP Cacereño
CPC
9%
18%
73%
20 47 27 -1
05 May. 2002
EST
Estrella
2 - 0
Santa Amalia
SAM
48%
27%
25%
20 20 0 0
28 Apr. 2002
VIL
CF Villanovense
5 - 0
Estrella
EST
70%
20%
10%
20 35 15 0