Mérida UD vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
MER
26%
26%
48%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
JER
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SPV
1 - 0
MER
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CDZ
1 - 2
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DPC
0 - 1
CDZ
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
CDZ
0 - 0
VIL
22%
24%
54%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 1
CDZ
70%
17%
12%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CDZ
2 - 1
COR
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |