Mérida UD vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
IMP
0 - 5
MER
15%
23%
63%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
JER
0 - 0
MER
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
MER
1 - 2
SPV
47%
25%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
MER
28%
26%
45%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
SNV
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CDZ
0 - 0
ASJ
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
CDZ
1 - 0
ARR
23%
24%
54%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
COR
1 - 0
CDZ
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CDZ
1 - 0
OLI
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SAM
3 - 2
CDZ
55%
22%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |