Mérida UD vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 0
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MER
1 - 3
JER
47%
26%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MIA
0 - 0
MER
29%
27%
45%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MER
3 - 0
VIL
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 2
MER
23%
26%
51%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DBN
2 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
DPC
1 - 3
DBN
39%
26%
34%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
DBN
1 - 1
COR
50%
23%
26%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CPL
0 - 1
DBN
31%
27%
41%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
DBN
3 - 1
PUE
53%
24%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |