Mérida UD vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
ASJ
72%
19%
9%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 0
MER
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
COR
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
MER
17%
24%
59%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
SAM
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DBN
5 - 1
IMP
80%
15%
6%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ASJ
2 - 0
DBN
28%
27%
45%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
DBN
0 - 0
JER
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 2
DBN
67%
20%
14%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
DBN
2 - 4
SPV
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |