Mérida UD vs CD Alfaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
18.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
MER
25%
26%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
VEC
47%
28%
26%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PPJ
2 - 3
MER
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
NAV
57%
25%
19%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
LAN
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alfaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ALF
2 - 0
UDF
30%
27%
43%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
RMC
2 - 0
ALF
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ALF
0 - 0
ALC
29%
28%
43%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 3
ALF
67%
20%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 0
ALF
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |