Mérida UD vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
65.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JER
2 - 1
MER
53%
26%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
MIA
52%
25%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
MER
31%
26%
42%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MER
0 - 1
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PLA
2 - 0
MER
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ARR
3 - 1
HER
87%
10%
3%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DPC
1 - 1
ARR
17%
21%
63%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 0
COR
79%
14%
8%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CPL
2 - 1
ARR
10%
19%
71%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARR
8 - 2
PUE
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |