Mérida UD vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.6%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 2
MER
16%
27%
57%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MER
6 - 0
VIL
68%
23%
9%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
IMP
0 - 0
MER
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MER
3 - 0
OLI
72%
21%
7%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
CER
2 - 1
MER
29%
28%
43%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ARR
1 - 2
SPV
23%
24%
54%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 1
ARR
58%
24%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ARR
3 - 0
MON
27%
26%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MOR
3 - 1
ARR
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ARR
1 - 1
AMA
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |