Mérida UD vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ARR
0 - 1
MER
13%
26%
61%
|
49 | 14 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MER
1 - 0
SAM
70%
21%
9%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
VIL
0 - 1
MER
17%
27%
56%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
MER
1 - 1
IMP
68%
21%
11%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
OLI
0 - 1
MER
16%
27%
57%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
AMA
0 - 3
SPV
23%
25%
52%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
BAD
1 - 0
AMA
44%
26%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
AMA
1 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
MOR
3 - 1
AMA
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
VIL
4 - 2
AMA
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |