Júpiter Leonés vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júpiter Leonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
ACF
1 - 0
LEO
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
PON
4 - 0
LEO
80%
14%
7%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
LEO
4 - 1
VDB
55%
25%
20%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
CIU
0 - 1
LEO
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
LEO
3 - 2
BÉJ
36%
26%
38%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
AST
2 - 1
CDE
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
AST
2 - 4
TOR
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
CDF
4 - 1
AST
47%
26%
27%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
AST
3 - 1
SAL
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
CAC
2 - 0
AST
52%
25%
24%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |