Júpiter Leonés vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júpiter Leonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
BÉJ
2 - 0
LEO
86%
9%
4%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
LEO
1 - 0
SDS
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
PEN
3 - 0
LEO
26%
26%
47%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -3 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
LEO
4 - 1
ACF
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
LEO
0 - 0
SLA
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
AST
1 - 1
SLA
23%
25%
52%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
HUL
1 - 0
AST
89%
7%
3%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
AST
1 - 1
CIU
63%
19%
17%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
BAÑ
4 - 2
AST
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
AST
2 - 1
MED
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |