C. Guarnizo vs CF Vimenor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C. Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
DEV
2 - 2
CGU
71%
18%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CGU
0 - 0
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
RIB
3 - 1
CGU
67%
20%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 1
CGU
44%
25%
31%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CGU
1 - 1
REO
19%
23%
58%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
CF Vimenor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
RAY
2 - 1
MAR
40%
25%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
BEZ
18%
24%
58%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CAY
1 - 1
MAR
45%
25%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
BAR
55%
25%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |