C. Guarnizo vs CD Laredo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
64.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C. Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NOJ
2 - 0
CGU
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CGU
1 - 4
ESC
11%
19%
70%
|
12 | 35 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
CGU
73%
17%
10%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
CGU
0 - 1
SOL
40%
25%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
RAY
0 - 1
CGU
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
CD Laredo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
3 - 2
REO
31%
28%
40%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 0
LAR
24%
26%
50%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 2
GIM
14%
22%
65%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 0
VEL
37%
27%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
NOJ
2 - 0
LAR
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |