C. Guarnizo vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C. Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 0
CGU
61%
22%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CGU
1 - 1
TRO
19%
25%
57%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SIE
1 - 0
CGU
70%
19%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CGU
0 - 1
ALB
27%
26%
47%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CGU
0 - 0
MAR
27%
23%
49%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAY
2 - 4
REO
15%
24%
61%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAY
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CAY
0 - 4
GIM
9%
19%
73%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
LAR
3 - 1
CAY
65%
21%
14%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CAY
1 - 3
NOJ
13%
21%
66%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |