C Guillarei vs SD Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C Guillarei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GOI
1 - 2
GUI
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
GUI
15%
20%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TEB
5 - 3
GUI
57%
21%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 2
RAC
50%
21%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MOS
1 - 3
GUI
62%
18%
20%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SD Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TEB
4 - 2
SDC
75%
14%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SDC
1 - 3
RAC
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MOS
4 - 3
SDC
64%
17%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SDC
0 - 0
CAR
79%
13%
9%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
COV
1 - 4
SDC
24%
20%
56%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |