CF Estrella vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+249%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
SOM
3 - 2
EST
39%
23%
39%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
EST
6 - 2
CEB
62%
18%
20%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
EST
3 - 3
CAR
29%
21%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CCR
0 - 3
EST
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +3 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 5
CLU
11%
16%
73%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
NUM
0 - 2
CCR
60%
19%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CLU
1 - 1
NUM
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
NUM
4 - 2
MAT
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
2 - 1
NUM
82%
11%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
NUM
4 - 1
ORT
52%
21%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |