CF Estrella vs Ortigueira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
66.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CEB
3 - 3
EST
70%
16%
14%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EST
1 - 1
SOM
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GAL
3 - 1
EST
74%
15%
12%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
EST
3 - 4
RAP
20%
19%
60%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
EST
3 - 3
MAT
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ortigueira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ORT
4 - 2
MAT
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
NUM
2 - 2
ORT
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ORT
4 - 0
CLU
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
RAP
1 - 2
ORT
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ORT
4 - 0
MEI
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |