Tercera - Postupové Play Off Final
Global 3-0
SCD Durango vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
UDS
0 - 1
CDU
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
CDU
2 - 0
ALC
48%
27%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 1
CDU
35%
28%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
UBC
0 - 0
CDU
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CDU
1 - 1
UBC
39%
27%
35%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
UDS
0 - 1
CDU
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
SDB
0 - 0
UDS
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
UDS
1 - 0
SDB
42%
25%
33%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDS
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
UDS
3 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |