Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
SCD Durango vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
CDU
2 - 2
SFC
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ALA
0 - 1
CDU
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CDU
0 - 1
DEU
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
AFT
1 - 3
CDU
12%
21%
67%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CDU
1 - 1
CDG
78%
16%
6%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
UBC
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
UBC
2 - 1
ATT
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
UBC
0 - 2
VRU
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 2
UBC
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UBC
3 - 2
MOR
71%
17%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |