SCD Durango vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
CDU
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CDU
3 - 1
LON
65%
22%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SFC
0 - 3
CDU
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CDU
0 - 0
AUR
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CDG
0 - 1
CDU
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GER
2 - 1
LEI
29%
27%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
AFT
0 - 0
GER
23%
27%
50%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
GER
0 - 0
CLU
49%
25%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LAU
1 - 0
GER
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GER
0 - 0
ARE
58%
25%
17%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |