SCD Durango vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
BFC
0 - 1
CDU
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CDU
1 - 1
BEA
49%
26%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ELG
0 - 2
CDU
25%
27%
48%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CDU
4 - 0
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LAU
4 - 0
CDU
51%
25%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
GER
1 - 1
ZAL
44%
26%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 2
GER
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GER
2 - 0
ZAR
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ZAM
1 - 2
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GER
2 - 0
LEI
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +2 |