SCD Durango vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 1
CDU
73%
18%
10%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
CDU
2 - 0
RSO
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ZAM
2 - 1
CDU
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CDU
2 - 1
DAC
55%
26%
20%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
AUR
1 - 0
CDU
32%
28%
41%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
BEA
38%
30%
32%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
GER
66%
21%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GER
1 - 0
SDA
56%
26%
18%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
RSO
1 - 1
GER
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
GER
2 - 0
ARE
58%
26%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |