SCD Durango vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
ARE
1 - 1
CDU
46%
27%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
CDU
1 - 0
ORT
82%
12%
5%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
AFT
1 - 0
CDU
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
ELG
0 - 2
CDU
30%
28%
42%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
CDU
2 - 0
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
GER
1 - 0
SDA
48%
28%
25%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
BAR
3 - 0
GER
83%
13%
5%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
GER
0 - 0
ZAL
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
ARE
1 - 0
GER
50%
28%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
GER
6 - 1
ORT
76%
16%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |