SCD Durango vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
CDU
1 - 1
ARE
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
SDA
1 - 1
CDU
48%
27%
26%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
CDU
2 - 1
BAS
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
BKE
0 - 1
CDU
32%
30%
38%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CDU
2 - 1
DEU
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1983 |
GER
0 - 2
SDA
45%
28%
28%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
BAS
2 - 0
GER
71%
19%
10%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
GER
0 - 0
BKE
61%
23%
15%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
DEU
0 - 0
GER
57%
25%
19%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
GER
1 - 1
MON
62%
23%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |