SCD Durango vs CD Aurrera Vitoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
EIB
1 - 2
CDU
39%
30%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CDU
1 - 2
POR
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ZAL
1 - 0
CDU
50%
27%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
GER
0 - 0
CDU
45%
29%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CDU
3 - 1
BAS
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
CD Aurrera Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
AUR
2 - 1
BAS
23%
27%
50%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
RSO
0 - 2
AUR
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
AUR
1 - 2
ZAM
32%
31%
38%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
DAC
1 - 0
AUR
50%
27%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
AUR
1 - 1
AUR
52%
27%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |