SCD Durango vs Bruno Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
LON
0 - 1
CDU
33%
29%
38%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
CDU
1 - 0
BEA
43%
28%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
SDA
0 - 2
CDU
29%
30%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
CDU
0 - 0
ARE
60%
24%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
LAU
1 - 2
CDU
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bruno Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
BRU
1 - 1
BAS
13%
20%
67%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
RSO
2 - 2
BRU
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
BRU
1 - 3
ZAM
22%
25%
52%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
DAC
5 - 0
BRU
69%
18%
13%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
BRU
1 - 0
AUR
20%
24%
56%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +2 |