SCD Durango vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
CDU
61%
21%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CDU
2 - 0
LON
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 2
CDU
45%
25%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CDU
1 - 3
GER
15%
21%
65%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SNT
1 - 0
CDU
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARI
0 - 0
SNT
42%
26%
32%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SES
4 - 1
ARI
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ARI
2 - 1
BFC
22%
25%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ARI
2 - 1
URD
39%
25%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 0
ARI
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |