SCD Durango vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
SNT
3 - 0
CDU
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CDU
0 - 0
EIB
53%
25%
22%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ZAR
4 - 1
CDU
38%
26%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -3 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CDU
2 - 2
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
CDU
1 - 2
ARE
56%
24%
19%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
AMU
0 - 0
ARE
68%
21%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 4
AMU
16%
24%
60%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AMU
6 - 0
SDA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BEA
3 - 4
AMU
52%
25%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
AMU
0 - 0
LAU
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |