C.D. Zarza vs UD Aracena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
REP
1 - 0
CDZ
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CDZ
3 - 0
BEA
65%
19%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
CDZ
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CDZ
2 - 0
CDR
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
NER
3 - 1
CDZ
20%
22%
59%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UD Aracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UDA
3 - 0
NER
54%
22%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CDH
1 - 1
UDA
31%
24%
46%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ARO
4 - 0
UDA
27%
22%
51%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CDC
1 - 1
UDA
66%
19%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UDA
5 - 2
CDE
19%
21%
60%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |