C.D. Zarza vs Nerva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
33.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-83%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
C.D. Zarza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CDZ
1 - 1
ARO
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
THA
1 - 1
CDZ
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HER
1 - 1
CDZ
42%
23%
36%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CDZ
0 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
15%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 2
CDZ
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
HER
4 - 1
NER
36%
22%
43%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NER
1 - 0
ATL
51%
24%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 2
NER
36%
23%
42%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NER
1 - 0
RIO
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
NER
2 - 0
CDE
41%
23%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |